Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project

Table 4. Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)

MCC = 25: Heidelberg         RU 1: Heidelberg City        MEN
Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-39 40-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-74MaxSource
83 7743
-1
6703
-1
4904
-1
4797
-0
3948
-0
2952
-0
2876
-1
2502
-0
1614
-1
2024
-0
 
1
R
84 7567
0
6658
-0
5063
0
4709
0
4091
0
3018
0
2875
0
2557
-0
1537
-0
2000
-0
 
0
R
85 7724
-0
6721
-0
5569
-0
4466
1
4231
0
3170
-0
2855
0
2558
0
1632
0
1833
0
 
1
R
86 8059
-1
6973
-1
5829
-1
4414
-0
4447
-0
3256
0
2890
-0
2507
0
1850
-0
1711
-0
 
1
R
87 8258
-1
7029
-2
5977
-3
4577
-3
4449
-1
3510
-0
2876
0
2501
1
2054
0
1502
0
 
3
R
88 8228
1
5881
3
4752
4
3884
3
4413
1
3793
0
2842
0
2669
-0
2296
-1
1365
1
 
4
R
89 8807
-0
6240
0
4824
1
4028
1
4398
-0
3999
-0
2938
0
2732
0
2317
1
1319
1
 
1
R
Max 1 3 4 3 1 0 1 1 1 1 4 
The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-69 70-74MaxSource
83-84 -3 -3 -3 -1 -1 -1 -2 -1 -4 -0 4R
84-85 -2 -4 -2 -1 -1 -0 -2 -2 -5 -1 5R
85-86 -2 -4 -2 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -3 -1 4R
86-87 -3 -5 -4 -1 -1 -0 -1 -2 -3 -2 5R
87-88 -5 -12 -14 -9 -3 -1 -0 -0 -1 -3 14R
88-89 0 -2 -4 -2 0 -0 -0 -1 -2 -2 4R
Max 5 12 14 9 3 1 2 2 5 3 14 
MCC = 25: Heidelberg         RU 1: Heidelberg City        WOMEN
Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-39 40-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-74MaxSource
83 8283
-1
6315
-1
4337
-0
4514
-0
3853
-0
3165
0
3860
-0
4241
-0
2863
-0
3846
0
 
1
R
84 8589
-0
6434
0
4548
0
4486
-0
4015
0
3185
0
3636
0
4268
0
2743
0
3837
0
 
0
R
85 9033
-0
6660
0
5083
0
4182
0
4166
0
3231
-0
3541
0
4097
0
2997
-0
3657
-0
 
0
R
86 9418
-0
6955
-0
5569
-1
3927
0
4346
-0
3362
-0
3443
-0
3879
0
3380
-0
3351
-0
 
1
R
87 9560
-2
7331
-4
5852
-3
4047
-2
4399
-0
3491
0
3320
-0
3751
0
3727
0
2973
-0
 
4
R
88 8446
2
5602
4
4621
4
3698
2
4310
1
3835
0
3090
0
3713
-0
4023
-0
2613
0
 
4
R
89 8943
-0
5982
1
4786
1
3828
1
4251
-0
4037
-0
3176
-0
3552
0
4071
0
2471
1
 
1
R
Max 2 4 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 
The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-69 70-74MaxSource
83-84 -3 -3 -1 0 -0 -1 -2 -1 -2 0 3R
84-85 -5 -2 -1 -1 -0 0 -1 -1 -2 1 5R
85-86 -4 -2 0 -0 0 -0 0 -1 -2 -0 4R
86-87 -5 -5 -2 1 -0 -1 -0 -0 -2 -1 5R
87-88 -11 -19 -15 -8 -2 0 -1 -0 -1 -3 19R
88-89 -0 -5 -3 -2 1 1 0 -1 -1 -3 5R
Max 11 19 15 8 2 1 2 1 2 3 19 
MCC = 25: Heidelberg         RU 4: Rhein-Neckar Region        MEN
Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-39 40-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-74MaxSource
83 18114
0
17344
-0
16100
-1
19525
-0
18204
-0
14139
-1
12351
-2
10173
-3
.
.
.
.
 
3
R
84 18587
1
17233
0
16078
0
18685
-0
19210
-1
14353
-1
13066
-1
10407
-2
.
.
.
.
 
2
R
85 19194
0
17342
-0
16950
-0
16849
0
19682
0
14809
-0
13489
-0
10542
0
.
.
.
.
 
0
R
86 19738
-1
17796
-1
17506
-1
15674
1
19989
0
15615
0
13752
-0
10606
-1
7256
-2
6006
1
 
2
R
87 19588
1
17237
2
17364
1
15500
0
20042
0
16357
1
13723
1
10859
1
7650
2
5756
-1
 
2
C
88 20639
0
18373
-0
17048
1
15771
0
19230
0
17947
-0
13509
1
11565
0
9061
2
4719
-0
 
2
R
89 21618
-1
19436
-2
17230
-0
15976
0
18594
-0
18755
0
13911
0
12216
1
9341
3
4637
2
 
3
R
Max 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 3 
The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-69 70-74MaxSource
83-84 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -1 -1 -0 0 1R
84-85 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -1 -1 -2 -0 0 2R
85-86 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 1R
86-87 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -1 -2 -1 0 2R
87-88 0 0 -0 -0 0 -0 -0 -1 -1 -0 1C
88-89 0 1 0 0 0 -0 -0 -1 -1 -0 1R
Max 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 2 
MCC = 25: Heidelberg         RU 4: Rhein-Neckar Region        WOMEN
Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-39 40-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-74MaxSource
83 17898
-0
18054
-1
15880
-1
18399
-1
17228
-1
13566
-1
13966
-1
14264
-3
.
.
.
.
 
3
R
84 18561
1
17712
-1
16145
-1
17730
-1
17929
-1
13853
-1
13952
-1
14632
-2
.
.
.
.
 
2
R
85 19007
0
17524
-0
17179
-0
16092
0
18683
-0
14328
-0
13835
-0
14386
0
.
.
.
.
 
0
R
86 19750
-1
17575
-1
17899
-1
15195
0
18982
-0
15136
-1
13686
-0
14007
-0
10995
-2
10359
1
 
2
R
87 19321
1
17135
2
17407
2
15059
1
18681
1
15280
2
13632
1
13831
1
11422
2
9897
-1
 
2
C
88 20306
-0
17829
0
17494
1
15390
1
18066
1
16838
1
13305
1
13622
0
13601
1
7973
0
 
1
R
89 20859
-0
18972
-1
17409
0
15855
1
17519
-0
17727
0
13592
1
13599
1
14019
2
7750
1
 
2
R
Max 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 3 
The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1)
Year25-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-69 70-74MaxSource
83-84 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0R
84-85 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0R
85-86 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0R
86-87 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0R
87-88 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0C
88-89 0 0 -0 -0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0R
Max 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0